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Solar
SFI 201
SN 101
A 14
K 1 Quiet
X-Ray C2.7
Wind 384.6 km/s
Aurora 2
Updated 19:00 UTC HamQSL · N0NBH
Day 80/40m Poor 30/20m Good 17/15m Good 12/10m Good
Night 80/40m Good 30/20m Good 17/15m Good 12/10m Poor

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solar flux been crazy lately, anyone else noticing weird propagation?

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so ive been watching the solar flux numbers for the past few weeks and they've been bouncing all over the place. had a day last tuesday where the SFI was up around 180 and 10 meters was absolutely alive, worked a bunch of stations in europe and even heard some JA's coming through around 1400 local which I wasnt really expecting at all. then literally two days later the flux dropped back down to like 130 something and 10 went completely dead, couldnt even hear stateside stations well.

my question is basically how do you guys actually use the solar flux data to decide when to get on the air? like do you just check it in the morning and make a plan or is it more of a real time thing where youre constantly refreshing the DX cluster and seeing what opens up. I know about checking the A and K index too for geomagnetic stuff but honestly the relationship between all these numbers still feels a bit fuzzy to me. been licensed about 2 years now and still learning how this all ties together.

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yeah 10m has been on a real rollercoaster lately, you're not imagining it. the thing i've learned after doing this for about 20 years is that the SFI is kind of a starting point but it doesnt tell you the whole story. i usually check it in the morning along with the K index and if K is above 3 i get a little worried about the higher HF bands especially anything going over the polar paths. you can have a great SFI but if theirs geomagnetic activity messing things up then Europe from here in the midwest can go completely sideways.

for real time stuff i use the DX cluster combined with just spinning the dial honestly. sometimes the cluster shows a pileup on 12m and you go there and its wide open and nobody told you. the WWV propagation bulletins at 18 past the hour are worth listening to if you're old school about it. the main thing is just get on and listen, the bands will tell you more than any number on a website will.

this is something i've been trying to figure out too. I just got my general a few months ago and worked my first DX last month on 15 meters, some station in the Canary Islands which I was pretty excited about. but i have no idea how people seem to know when openings are going to happen. do most people use a specific website for propagation or is there an app that's actually good? I downloaded one but it just shows a bunch of numbers and I dont really know what threshold means what.

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